Friedrich Hayek: The ideas and influence of the libertarian economist by EAMONN BUTLER
Author:EAMONN BUTLER
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 9780857192301
Hayek versus Keynes
Nothing caused more disagreement between Hayek and John Maynard Keynes than this point. Keynes did not see a slump as the inevitable consequence of an earlier boom; he put it down to problems with the capitalist system itself. His solution was to boost ‘demand’ – the willingness and ability of people to buy things – including ‘investment demand’ for capital goods, something he thought was essential to generate new production and employment.
But in Hayek’s view this expansionary policy leads only to greater disaster. The problem is not a shortage of investment, but malinvestment – investment that has gone to the wrong places. It is not a shortage of demand, but a mismatch between demand and supply. Artificially low interest rates have prompted business to commit real resources to unsustainable projects that are designed to produce things that people no longer want or can afford.
Keynes therefore makes a crucial mistake in wanting to boost ‘demand’ or ‘investment’. He is looking only at the totals of what people buy or invest, not what they want to buy and where and how they are investing. If the things that producers are geared up to supplying are different from the things that customers are demanding, then no boost to total demand, however large, will correct the mismatch. By lumping different things together, Keynes has obscured the real problem and therefore comes up with the wrong solution.
But what Hayek called the “final disaster” is Keynes’ belief that only governments could engineer the new demand that was needed to end the slump. Not only is this the wrong solution; it also encourages the belief that government policy is the source of high or low levels of business activity and employment. That, thought Hayek, credits government with an expertise it does not have. It was, after all, government efforts to boost business that created the unintended catastrophe of the boom–bust cycle. That is hardly a great record of economic management.
Keynesian measures, therefore, will only make a slump worse. Keeping interest rates low only encourages more of the over-borrowing that caused the market dislocation that started off the whole sorry cycle. Government efforts to boost ‘investment’ and ‘demand’ through public spending on projects such as roads, bridges and other infrastructure will hijack resources from where entrepreneurs might invest them more productively – and still not cure the mismatches in supply and demand that are the underlying problem.
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